‘No Deal’ Brexit On Horizon?

Theresa May’s faltering cabinet has had talks break down with EU negotiators, Tory Brexit ‘rebels’ challenging her premiership, and the ‘strong and stable’ government model seeming a lost cause.

It could be argued May’s emphasis on stability in her election-run was a reassuring ‘everything will be okay’ before a turbulent EU negotiation phase began.

Despite all this, Theresa May, a historical remainer (and no doubt staying a remainer at heart) knows that in order to keep her premiership intact she must act accordingly, and that means carrying out democracy’s will — even if this means a ‘no-deal’ withdrawal from the EU.

“There is no intrinsic reason why Brexit should be difficult or damaging, but the EU itself has so far demonstrated it wants to make it so.” — Bernard Jenkin, opinion piece.

Pressures from within the largely pro-Brexit Tory-led government are placing due pressure on the buckling head-of-state, who’s recent illness and alleged ‘depressive phase’ following an abysmal election result means she must either toughen-up or risk a loss of Tory support and a dreaded Labour majority in the next general election.

Things are looking up though, calls have come, whether genuinely or by necessity, from leading Tory figures to ‘rally around’ Theresa May, and make a success of Brexit, something that Britain so desperately needs.

“Billions of pounds will be unlocked in the new year if progress has not been made. We have to plan for a No Deal.” — A treasury source.

The Treasury seems unable to hear any voices except those that reinforce their preconceptions. It seems blind to the facts, preoccupied with preserving “access” to the EU market seemingly at any cost.

“The EU doesn’t want to do a deal because if they let Britain leave and have a good deal outside of the EU it risks the whole EU breaking up.”

The EU’s insistent ‘my way or the highway’ attitude likely means it wants to make an example of Britain, if our secession is bumpy and hard-fought it will discourage other states from following in our footsteps. It boils down to what we will allow the EU to take from us, we can easily make a success of a post-Brexit world — but will we let ourselves snap out of an EU-membership paradigm?

 

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